Finance
Bhubaneswar: Amid fears of cyclonic storm Asani, a low pressure system formed today over the Andaman Sea, two days after a cyclonic circulation formed over the same region.
“A low pressure area has formed over the South Andaman Sea and the adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal as a result of the cyclonic circulation over the South Andaman Sea and its surroundings.” “It is very likely to move northwestwards and intensify into a Depression over the next 48 hours,” the India Meteorological Department reported today.
The IMD warned yesterday that the possible Depression could worsen into Deep Depression on May 8.
Meanwhile, the possible Cyclone ‘Asani’ over the Bay of Bengal may become a very severe cyclonic storm, indicated IMD GFS model.
“IMD GFS is indicating the system to intensity up to very severe category storm,” the North Indian Ocean Extended Range Outlook for Cyclogenesis issued by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
“Most of the deterministic models including IMD GFS, NCEP GFS, ECMWF, NCUM (R), NCUM (G), ECMWF, IMD WRF, IMD MME and probabilistic models including GEFS, NEPS, ECMWF ensemble are indicating likely cyclogenesis (formation of depression) over Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal around May 8. The MME CFS (V2) is indicating >80% probability of cyclogenesis over Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal,” the outlook said.
“However, there is large variation among various models with respect to intensification of the system. Most of the models are indicating the system to intensify up to a marginal cyclone. However, IMD GFS is indicating the system to intensity up to very severe category storm. Models are also unanimous about the northeastwards recurvature of the system,” it said.
